Networks of spillover effects to spot systemic risk in the banking industry: testing Granger causality in a high dimensional VAR model
In this essay the evolution of global systemic risk is investigated by creating networks (and communities) of contagion among 88 banks that are deemed systemically important on a global level (particularly western economy). The contagion is defined by a Granger Causality relation between two individuals in the network, this is tested using the Post double selection method described in Margartitell
