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Volatility forecasting using adaptive exponential smoothing versus GARCH modeling

Different models for predicting volatility in financial returns have been proposed during the years. This paper focuses on two different ways of volatility modeling, generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (GARCH) models and exponential smoothing models. In a previous study 2004, James W. Taylor introduced an adaptive version of the traditionally exponential smoothing method with

Ekis - ett användbart intranät?

Den här uppsatsen handlar om en utmaning för många stora företag och organisationer: hur bör man ta hänsyn till många skilda behov hos olika målgrupper och användare i arbetet med att skapa ett användbart intranät. Syftet med den här fallstudien är att undersöka ett intranätprojekt och beskriva en grupp intranätanvändare i en kommunal verksamhet samt undersöka ett sätt på hur man praktiskt kan gå

Indexfondens konkurrenskraft gentemot den effektiva portföljen

The intention of this paper is to investigate the performance of two mean-variance portfolios – one without short-sales restrictions and the other with the short-sales restriction – compared to the performance of an index, AFGX, and an index-fund, SHB Aktiefond Index. As an approximation the two mean-variance portfolios are created with the largest and most traded 16 company’s on the Stockholm Sto

Nationell Utveckling - en detaljstudie av BNP och HDI

GDP per Capita (PPP USD) and HDI are two important indicators of national development. Both indicators are frequently used for international comparisons. To perform an evaluation of these we have examined their relationship with five major aspects in a society; health, education, equality between the sexes, democracy and segregation. The developments in GDP and HDI are examined over a ten year per

CARIFORUM och EU - En studie om EPA:s effekter

Economic Partnership Agreement (EPA) is a new trade agreement between EU and ACP. The aim with EPA is to liberalise trade reciprocally according to WTO’s rules and to do development collaborations. The trade agreement will even integrate the countries in ACP in the world economy and enhance trade between partners and foster regional integration. This thesis analyzes what EPA is and how it affects

Grandstand Demand - A Club-level Study of Football Ticket Pricing and Demand

This paper explores the realm of price discrimination and optimal pricing for a football club in the Swedish Premier League. By use of data from the club’s ticket system, linear regression analysis and a straightforward demand function the current price discrimination scheme is evaluated. From these results, estimates of lost ticket revenue are calculated and a revised price scheme is produced.

Kapitalliberalisering, en litteraturstudie om globalisering och fria kapitalrörelser

Uppsatsen behandlar ämnet globalisering, och är inriktad på fria kapitalrörelser. Syftet är att belysa dagens debatt i ämnet, samt att lyfta fram grundläggande förutsättningar för ekonomisk globalisering. Två historiska exempel rörande kapitalimport till Sverige och Argentina under det sena 1800-talet står som historisk grund, varpå själva grundproblemet med fria kapitalrörelser står klart: med en

Are Azerbaijan and Kazakhstan suffering from the Dutch Disease?

In this paper it is examined if the two booming economies of Azerbaijan and Kazakhstan are suffering from the Dutch Disease caused by their dependency on oil exports. First the theories behind the Dutch Disease are presented and the typical symptoms are discussed. These include a change in the real exchange rate, an overall increase in wages, slower growth in the manufacturing sector and faster gr

Kan överavkastning erhållas från optionshandel baserat på informationen i den öppna balansen?

Purpose The purpose with this study was to investigate whether it was possible to predict an interval in the future for the underlying instrument by weighting sold put and call options. Further purpose was to investigate if it was possible to build strategies from this information and get a return. Method We received a weighted value by comparing the difference in the open interest from one day to

The role of WTO accession in China’s stock market efficiency and predictability

This paper examines the weak form EMH regarding to the china’s stock markets and the role of WTO accession in the market efficiency. We consider A share and B share and composite index traded on the Shanghai Stock Exchange and Shenzhen Stock Exchange using daily data for 6 indexes for the period from the earliest available data to 2008/03/14. We assume WTO accession plays a positive role in the Ch

Investmentbolag och substansvärdesrabatten

Uppsatsen tar upp teorier om varför det existerar substansvärdesrabatt på investmentbolag och vad man kan göra för att minska den samt studera hur substansrabatten har ändrats över tiden. Några företag har aktivt bekämpat rabatten och undersökningen skall visa om de lyckats med detta. Investmentbolagen har substansvärdet som utgångspunkt när man utvärderar företagets utveckling. Studien i uppsatse

Lean Manufacturing Information System - A Case Study

Lean manufacturing is one of the optimal ways in producing goods through the removal of waste and implementing logistics flow, it has been widely adopted and into attracted after 21th century by more and more manufacturing companies. Whereas, for the current available information systems in the market like the most widely adopted ERP systems, they are not able to support the operations in the Lean

Migration as Trade Facilitation: Assessing the Links between International Trade and Migration

International trade costs still matter. As traditional barriers to trade continue to diminish in importance, the question is how trade costs can be further lowered to promote international trade. Migrants can lower trade costs between their country of birth and their country of residence, particularly through the information channel. I use a gravity model of international trade to estimate the ext

Rättvisa prioriteringar inom sjukvården - En studie av metoder för att mäta behov

Enligt hälso- och sjukvårdslagen ska prioriteringar inom sjukvården baseras på tre grundläggande etiska principer: människovärdesprincipen, behovs- och solidaritetsprincipen och kostnadseffektivitetsprincipen. Det har dock visat sig att dessa principer har upplevts som svåra att tillämpa. Detta gäller särskilt behovs- och solidaritetsprincipen där man har uppmärksammat att det finns stora svårighe

Medicinsk limning av lungsäcken

A statistical analysis has been performed on a pharmacological study from the Lung department of Medical clinic, UsiL. The intention of the study was to explore, especially from a pallative aspect, treatment of exceptional fluid manifestations in pleura caused by cancer. The patients were recruited between 1993 and 1997. They were randomized either to the drug Atabrine or to the drug Bleomycin. Ho

Customer Trust in China Mobile Commerce

With the prevalence of mobile equipments, mobile payment has been brought in to China market as a new transaction to provide services into customers’ life for several years. Furthermore, China market owns the largest number of mobile users all over the world; however, compared with other contemporary markets in neighbor countries like Korea and Japan, China mobile payment industry is still settlin

Israel and the European Union - A Study on Trade and Integration

This study examines the impact that the association agreement between the European Union and Israel has had on Israel in terms of trade and specialization. The thesis concludes that Israel benefited from increased trade and specialization between 1995 and 2005, despite the macroeconomic instability that caused trade contraction in 2002-03. An important finding is that the increased international m

Teknisk Analys – Under vilka omständigheter fungerar det glidande medelvärdet bäst?

Purpose The paper intends to analyze how the moving average performs in two different types of markets and thereby contribute to the knowledge of its practical use. Methodology Thirty companies from the OMX Nordic list are studied with the use of a moving average. The study will take place in two different periods, one characterized with market-fall (2000-2003) and one with market-rise (2003-2007)

Vad kostar narkotikamissbruket? En studie av samhällets kostnader för narkotikamissbruk i Skåne 2006

Följderna av narkotikamissbruk kostar samhället stora summor pengar varje år. Att beräkna den exakta storleken på dessa summor är omöjligt, eftersom stora delar av den narkotikarelaterade verksamheten är olaglig. De kostnadsberäkningar man kan göra blir ungefärliga uppskattningar. Ändå är det viktigt att försöka, eftersom den kunskap man har om kostnaderna för narkotikamissbrukets konsekvenser utg