- a summer school at Lund University 2015 This course is organized in cooperation with the research school ClimBEco Contact and info ullrika.sahlin at cec.lu.se Background to the course Bayesian methods are becoming more used in research. Bayesian methods are used for inference, modelling of complex data, model calibration, integration of multiple sources of information, combination of data with e

https://evidence.blogg.lu.se/files/2015/03/Summerschool_2.pdf - 2025-05-13

The Future of Risk Analysis in the Nordic Countries Keynotes: David Gee • Åsa Boholm • Tomas Öberg • Terje Aven • Johannes Persson • Ragnar Löfstedt Where: Elite Hotel, Ideon Lund, Sweden When: 16-17 November Time: Lunch-to-Lunch Information and registration visit www.lucram.lu.se/event/nordic- chapter-risk-conference The Nordic Chapter of SRA Europe and Lund University Centre of Risk Assessment a

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Where: Kärret, Ecology Building, Sölvegatan 37 When: Monday February 29th, 17—19 Drop in Bring a laptop with R and JAGS installed (or do it there) Bayesian modelling in JAGS An initative by Pufendorf Advanced Study Group on Calculating and Communicating Uncertainty Bayesian Analysis for curious learners Tutorial and discussion led by Ullrika Sahlin (CEC) Further info: Ullrika.Sahlin@cec.lu.se

https://evidence.blogg.lu.se/files/2016/02/Bayestutorial29feb.pdf - 2025-05-13

December 2016 The Society for Risk Analysis SRA Europe Nordic Chapter Second Annual Meeting: Where are we and where are we going? Randa Kachef, SRA News Editor All photos by Randa Kachef Risk practitioners and academics from around the Nordic-Baltic region met in Gothenburg from November 14-15 for the Second Annual Meeting of the SRA Europe Nordic Chapter. At the meeting, participants experienced

https://evidence.blogg.lu.se/files/2016/11/Nordic_SRA_Meeting_gbg2016.pdf - 2025-05-13

Likaantuneita lintuja ja kadonneita katkoja – öljyonnettomuuden vaikutukset meriluontoon Sakari Kuikka & Fem group Head of Fisheries and Environmental Management group (FEM), Department of Environmental Sciences, University of Helsinki, Finland, Email: sakari.kuikka@helsinki.fi Learning chains in oil spill risk analysis Lund University 29.3.2017 http://www.helsinki.fi/university/ http://www.helsin

https://evidence.blogg.lu.se/files/2017/02/BN-Workshop-Sakari-Kuikka.pdf - 2025-05-13

Small data and conflicting information What is needed to get Bayesian Networks robust to weaknesses in knowledge? Ullrika Sahlin, Centre of Environmental and Climate Research Lund University, Sweden Ullrika.Sahlin@cec.lu.se http://www.cec.lu.se/ullrika-sahlin mailto:Ullrika.Sahlin@cec.lu.se http://www.cec.lu.se/ullrika-sahlin Abstract Also the sun has its spots. Bayesian Networks are useful, but h

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BNs, adaptive managment2 Bayesian  tools  to  meet  the  challenges  of   uncertainty,  climate  change  and  integrating   molecular  toxicology  to  population   management Wayne  G.  Landis Institute  of  Environmental  Toxicology,  Huxley  College  of  the  Environment Western  Washington  University,  Bellingham,  Washington  USA Looking  ahead-­‐ Introduction  to  the  use  of  Bayesian  net

https://evidence.blogg.lu.se/files/2017/02/BN-Workshop-Wayne-Landis.pdf - 2025-05-13

Lund kickoff-2 Wayne  G.  Landis Institute  of  Environmental  Toxicology,  Western  Washington  University Bellingham,  Washington Introduction  to  ecological  risk  assessment,  the  use   of  Bayesian  networks  and  the  analysis  of   uncertainty How  about  a  story? • I  has  been  a  twenty-­‐one  year  journey  to  get  to   this  point  in  the  development  of  regional  risk   assessm

https://evidence.blogg.lu.se/files/2017/02/BN_lecture_kickoff_Landis.pdf - 2025-05-13

Small data and conflicting information Bayesian Networks Decision analysis Ullrika Sahlin, Centre of Environmental and Climate Research Lund University, Sweden Ullrika.Sahlin@cec.lu.se http://www.cec.lu.se/ullrika-sahlin mailto:Ullrika.Sahlin@cec.lu.se http://www.cec.lu.se/ullrika-sahlin Recipe of a decision • Agents – decision makers • Their values • Decision alternatives • An idea of what is a g

https://evidence.blogg.lu.se/files/2017/02/BN_lecture_part2_sahlin.pdf - 2025-05-13

Small data and conflicting information Using expert's knowledge in Bayesian analysis Ullrika Sahlin, Centre of Environmental and Climate Research Lund University, Sweden Ullrika.Sahlin@cec.lu.se http://www.cec.lu.se/ullrika-sahlin mailto:Ullrika.Sahlin@cec.lu.se http://www.cec.lu.se/ullrika-sahlin Theory Data EK Theory Data EK Theory Data EK T Data EK European Food Safety Agency (EFSA) Plant Healt

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A mini-conference in Bayesian analysis at Lund University Room MA7, in the Maths annex building, Sölvegatan 20, Lund 20 April 2017 http://maths.lu.se/bayeslund2017 Sponsored by BECC and COMPUTE http://www.becc.lu.se/ http://cbbp.thep.lu.se/compute/ http://maths.lu.se/bayeslund2017 http://www.becc.lu.se/ http://cbbp.thep.lu.se/compute http://www.becc.lu.se/ http://cbbp.thep.lu.se/compute/ Program,

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Small data and conflicting information The importance of considering extreme and rare events in environmental management Ullrika Sahlin, Centre of Environmental and Climate Research Lund University, Sweden Ullrika.Sahlin@cec.lu.se http://www.cec.lu.se/ullrika-sahlin mailto:Ullrika.Sahlin@cec.lu.se http://www.cec.lu.se/ullrika-sahlin Now Train departs Time Now Train departs Time I leave the office

https://evidence.blogg.lu.se/files/2017/05/Sahlin_docent_final.pdf - 2025-05-13

PowerPoint-presentation KORTKURS FRAMTIDSVECKAN 2019 SAHLIN OCH KNAGGÅRD Och en osäker framtid är vår Hur troligt är det att det regnar på fredag? 1. Hur stor är chansen att det händer? ____ % 2. Föreställ dig att du har ”testat det regnar” i flera försök – hur många gånger har du testat för att komma upp till det du nyss svarade? Regn på fredag (%) 0 25 50 75 100 KORTKURS FRAMTIDSVECKAN 2019 SAHL

https://evidence.blogg.lu.se/files/2019/09/Och-en-os%C3%A4ker-framtid-%C3%A4r-v%C3%A5r-Sahlin-Knagg%C3%A5rd.pdf - 2025-05-13

Graduate course: Interdisciplinary in Environmental Research – Environmental Evidence Synthesis Skip to content Search Search Close Menu Environmental Evidence Synthesis Graduate course: Interdisciplinary in Environmental Research This course on 3 credits is given as part of the Environmental Science Graduate Studies at Lund University and the research school ClimBEco.   Last day to apply was 15 S

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Guess your time in Lundaloppet Predictive Challenge 2019 – Environmental Evidence Synthesis Skip to content Search Search Close Menu Environmental Evidence Synthesis Guess your time in Lundaloppet Predictive Challenge 2019 Länk till denna sida på svenska We are curious to know how good people are in being uncertain. To test this, we asked participants of the running race Lundaloppet (Lund May 4th

https://evidence.blogg.lu.se/lundaloppet-predictive-challenge-2019-eng/ - 2025-05-13

Finns det någon nytta med att vara osäker – Environmental Evidence Synthesis Skip to content Search Search Close Menu Environmental Evidence Synthesis Finns det någon nytta med att vara osäker Detta är en fråga som jag ställde på Dalby bibliotek som en del i Lunds universitets forskarturné hösten 2018 . De drygt 20 åskådarna fick utstå att gissa, uttrycka deras osäkerhet och testa huruvida de har

https://evidence.blogg.lu.se/osakerhet/ - 2025-05-13

DSC_0042 – Environmental Evidence Synthesis Skip to content Search Search Close Menu Environmental Evidence Synthesis DSC_0042 October 4, 2019 host This entry was posted in Write a comment Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked * Comment Name * Email * Website Menu Close about this blog Accessibility statement Follow us

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Which theory gets the highest probability to be the true one? – Environmental Evidence Synthesis Skip to content Search Search Close Menu Environmental Evidence Synthesis Which theory gets the highest probability to be the true one? September 30, 2019 host This entry was posted in Write a comment Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked * Comment Name * Email * Website

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Page 6 – Environmental Evidence Synthesis Skip to content Search Search Close Menu Environmental Evidence Synthesis Expanded View April 18, 2019 | host Guess your time in Lundaloppet Predictive Challenge 2019 Länk till denna sida på svenska We are curious to know how good people are in being uncertain. To test this, we asked participants … experts 0 Comments April 18, 2019 | host Gissa din tid i L

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Experts judgements – Environmental Evidence Synthesis Skip to content Search Search Close Menu Environmental Evidence Synthesis Experts judgements October 13, 2018 host This entry was posted in Write a comment Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked * Comment Name * Email * Website Menu Close about this blog Accessibility statement Follow us

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